I've been watching NHC.NOAA.GOV, and this morning's report showed that Wilma
had taken a larger 'hook to the west' prior to its anticipated swing towards
Florida. As a result, it looks like Cozumel's going to get hit within the
next 12-24 hours.
As per report #21, the current best estimate for location between now and
7AM Friday is:
20.3N 86.9W 41 X X X 41
(translation: 41% of passing within 65nmiles of 20.3 N - 86.9 W)
Cozumel airport is listed...
MMCZ 205N 869W 38 X X X 38 (38% chance of being within 65nm within next
Together, the two would appear to suggest that the center of Wilma will
pass just south of Coz (it was "just north" in Report #20 from 4AM this
morning) - - in any event, she's currently expected to strengthen, and looks
like has a "50/50" chance of being a CAT 5 by the time that she gets to Coz.