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SCUBA-L  October 2005, Week 3

SCUBA-L October 2005, Week 3

Subject:

Hurricane Wilma - Cozumel to get hit

From:

"Huntzinger, Hugh A [AMSRD-AAR-AEW-E (D)]" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Scuba diving discussion list <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 20 Oct 2005 14:05:57 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (30 lines)

Hi All,


I've been watching NHC.NOAA.GOV, and this morning's report showed that Wilma
had taken a larger 'hook to the west' prior to its anticipated swing towards
Florida. As a result, it looks like Cozumel's going to get hit within the
next 12-24 hours.


As per report #21, the current best estimate for location between now and
7AM Friday is:

20.3N 86.9W 41 X X X 41
(translation: 41% of passing within 65nmiles of 20.3 N - 86.9 W)

Cozumel airport is listed...
MMCZ 205N 869W 38 X X X 38 (38% chance of being within 65nm within next
~24 hrs).

Together, the two would appear to suggest that the center of Wilma will
pass just south of Coz (it was "just north" in Report #20 from 4AM this
morning) - - in any event, she's currently expected to strengthen, and looks
like has a "50/50" chance of being a CAT 5 by the time that she gets to Coz.


Chuck - - - hope your house makes it through OK.


-Hugh

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