On Mon, 3 Jun 2013 12:16:05 -0500, George Corley wrote:

>On Mon, Jun 3, 2013 at 11:48 AM, Daniel Myers wrote:
>> > -------- Original Message --------
>> > From: George Corley
>> > Date: Mon, June 03, 2013 12:14 pm
>> >
>> > On Mon, Jun 3, 2013 at 11:00 AM, Gary Shannon wrote:
>> >
>> > Those cultures would have to reject or de-emphasize their historical
>> > connections as well.  That might let the US drift further from everyone
>> > else in written form first, perhaps, or it might not.
>> >
>> > In any case, the fall of the Anglophone empire is a ways into the future
>> if
>> > we can even estimate it.  The US isn't relinquishing it's hegemonic
>> > position anytime soon.  I'd say it's safe for 50-100 years (you can't
>> > really predict politics further than that).
>> Assuming that English retains its position as the language of
>> international commerce, I'd expect it to splinter into sublanguages in
>> different economic regions.  Perhaps the Americas would have one
>> version, Europe a second, Asia a third, and Africa a fourth.  In each
>> region the language might change to suit the kind of errors the local
>> non-English-speakers would make.
>> - Doc
>That I don't think will happen.  English may lag in it's loss of status the
>way Latin did, remaining a lingua franca far beyond the time when
>Anglophone countries are the most powerful, but I think that future Anglic
>languages will most likely crop up in those places where English remains a
>mother tongue.  So the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Britain,
>Ireland, and South Africa are likely candidates, but India and the
>Phillipines and other places where English is just a lingua franca will
>more likely drop it as it loses prestige.

An important difference between the evolution of Latin vernaculars into
Romance languages and a future evolution of English varieties into Anglic
languages is the presence of mass media. I think they have a leveling effect,
while widespread literacy has a conserving effect.

Even if there were a sudden drop in mass media and literacy, the written
language might stay the same for many centuries, and literate Anglic speakers
would still consider their own language to be English, even though they'd
know it is quite different from vulgar Anglic. I think.